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Iran, U.S. dance nuclear gavotte - Wrong Vision

 
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ViaDrEtebar



Joined: 03 Aug 2004
Posts: 91

PostPosted: Mon Dec 06, 2004 4:28 am    Post subject: Iran, U.S. dance nuclear gavotte - Wrong Vision Reply with quote

Dear Compatriots


Once again the foreign imperialists and secret societies are trying to write our future history.
Desperate attempts such as the Sham Referendum are in progress.
Supporter of the regime apologists are trying to sway public opinion and add to our apathy, disappointments and cause further desperation.
We can not afford to be silent observers. Get involved. Let these bastards have it!
Write the publication and object furiously.
Here is their e-mail address: letters@projo.com.
Don Weadon’s email address is dweadon@aol.com. Bombard him emails!!!

We shall be victorious.
Sincerely

Dr. Ramin Etebar


http://www.projo.com/opinion/contributors/content/projo_20041204_04bee.cf549.html


Quote:
William O. Beeman and Donald Weadon: Iran, U.S. dance nuclear gavotte

01:00 AM EST on Saturday, December 4, 2004

PALO ALTO, Calif.

IRAN has outmaneuvered the United States diplomatically regarding its nuclear program, and there is little that neoconservatives within and surrounding the Bush administration can do about the situation except gnash their collective teeth. This scenario need not be a tragedy if it forces the new post-election lineup of U.S. officials to finally begin dealing with Iran and other nuclear-containment issues on a rational basis.

The general disposition of the U.S. administration since George W. Bush's 2002 State of the Union speech, identifying the Islamic Republic of Iran as part of the "Axis of Evil," has been to promulgate "regime change" there. Enthusiasts for this position -- such as American Enterprise Institute Fellow Michael Ledeen, who regularly advises Bush policy chief Karl Rove -- have used the nuclear issue as their chief justification for this action.

Iran has now removed this pretext. After weeks of brinksmanship, on Nov. 28 Iran formally agreed to voluntary suspension of nuclear-fuel enhancement -- adding to an earlier agreement to a return of International Atomic Energy Agency inspectors, days before the IAEA governing board's meeting on the Iran nuclear issue. On Nov. 29 the IAEA endorsed Iran's agreement.

This last-minute accord, negotiated exclusively with European powers, was a firm rap in the chops for the United States. It met all formal concerns over the peaceful nature of their program under IAEA protocols.

At this point, the United States is firmly checkmated in its efforts to take the Iranian nuclear program before the IAEA board. This blocks the further step of promulgating a long-desired U.N. Security Council battle to formally sanction Iran, and undercuts the case both to intervene militarily and to impose the lesser punishment of a broader economic boycott against the Islamic Republic.

This hasn't stopped the huffing and puffing, however. Reuters reported on Nov. 29 that U.S. envoy Jackie Sanders had told the IAEA's board that Washington reserved the right to go it alone.

"Quite apart from the question of how this board chooses to handle these matters," she said, "the United States reserves all of its options with respect to Security Council consideration of the Iranian nuclear-weapons program."

Getting the Bush administration to move in a different direction in dealing with Iran will be a hard sell. Already, it appears that a purge of U.S. intelligence executives who may have opposed the administration's aggressive Mideast strategies is in full cry. Under Secretary of State John Bolton, the hawk-in-chief, appears not to be moving on from his non-proliferation slot. Other Mideast hardliners can be expected to fill the State Department's diplomatic/analytic posts with the posting to the Near East Bureau of Danielle Pletka, American Enterprise Institute executive and an Ahmad Chalabi loyalist.

Secretary of State Colin Powell has been the great moderating influence in this constellation, and his replacement by George Bush-cheerleader Condoleezza Rice will remove most barriers to the extremists.

Nevertheless, at some point hardliners such as Bolton and Pletka must realize that they have no more ground to stand on to justify action against Iran. The accusations they have made about Iran's nuclear-weapons program have no basis in fact.

As reported by The New York Times and other news organizations, American intelligence on Iran is weak. The pitiable credence given by U.S. officials to rumors about Iran's nuclear activities provided by the "walk-in source" -- the National Council of Resistance of Iran, a group lodged in and largely despised by Iran -- is testament to the poor quality of information being used by Washington officials.

U.S. officials have also been outgunned diplomatically. They have continually underestimated Iran's abilities in international dealings. The Iranians are playing an interesting game with the United States: translated from the Farsi, "systematic annoyance." The main goal is to undermine and puncture someone who is self-important. The Iranians press their case until Bolton and his ilk start issuing irrational threats; then the Iranians pull back to a position in which they are unassailable -- leaving the Boltons of the world looking foolish: with egg on their face as they fulminate darkly about Iranian "plots."

Those who advocate military action have also had to face facts. War-gaming exercises have shown that the United States cannot win in a confrontation with Iran. Even Michael Ledeen has admitted as much, in a Nov. 29 article in The Australian, in which he describes the "solution" to the Iranian problem as "militarily very daunting."

With the Bush administration's regime-change enthusiasts now stymied -- both militarily and diplomatically -- what can they do?

One solution already abortively pursued is to support regime change in Iran from within. Iran's youthful population is well disposed to the United States, highly educated, and longing for greater freedom. The problem is that, because of America's dreadful past dealings with Iran, anyone that the United States supports is discredited with the Iranian people.

Moreover, there are no good candidates to lead such an action. The National Council for Resistance of Iran is discredited. An Azerbaijani liberation movement, entertained by the Pentagon, proved ephemeral. And Reza Pahlavi, son of Iran's former shah, though a reasonably enlightened individual, has little support inside Iran.

In the short term, if the Bush administration truly wants nuclear cooperation with Iran, the most obvious solution would be to actually talk to the Iranians. Handling a specific problem such as nuclear proliferation need not be endorsement of a whole regime; the United States deals with numerous governments that are far more oppressive than Iran's.

However, since America has no diplomatic relations with Iran, this is difficult. Still, the lack of formal diplomatic contact need not bar dialogue. Colin Powell's Nov. 23 "polite conversation" with Iranian Foreign Minister and former U.N. Ambassador Kamal Kharazi, at a meeting in Egypt concerning Iraq, is the kind of tentative step that might start a thaw.

Removing the extraordinarily obstructionist measures imposed by the U.S. State and Treasury departments on educational and cultural exchanges between America and Iran would be another important step.

In any event, it is certain that leaving the Iranian situation a festering impasse is a mistake. The dramatic moves envisioned by Bolton, Ledeen and the other neoconservatives are at a dead end. Without a change in strategy, the United States is headed for yet another quagmire.

William O. Beeman is director of Middle East Studies at Brown University; his forthcoming book is The Great Satan vs. the Mad Mullahs: How the United States and Iran Demonize Each Other (Praeger). Donald Weadon is a Washington, D.C., lawyer and adjunct professor at George Mason University, with many years' experience in Mideast affairs.
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cyrus
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Joined: 24 Jun 2003
Posts: 4993

PostPosted: Mon Dec 06, 2004 4:51 am    Post subject: Re: Iran, U.S. dance nuclear gavotte Reply with quote

ViaDrEtebar wrote:
William O. Beeman and Donald Weadon: Iran, U.S. dance nuclear gavotte

And Reza Pahlavi, son of Iran's former shah, though a reasonably enlightened individual, has little support inside Iran.

William O. Beeman is director of Middle East Studies at Brown University; his forthcoming book is The Great Satan vs. the Mad Mullahs: How the United States and Iran Demonize Each Other (Praeger). Donald Weadon is a Washington, D.C., lawyer and adjunct professor at George Mason University, with many years' experience in Mideast affairs.


What is the basis for this statement?
This is a good example of wrong data, wrong vision, wrong strategy and bad article distorting many facts with the hidden agenda against freedom loving Iranian, FREE IRAN, and serving EU Big 3 against U.S. National Interest . This article shows many mistakes and bad judgement by William O. Beeman.

The following Interview by VOA with top Iranian Scholar and top Strategist Dr. Homyoun shows William O. Beeman is completely wrong.
William O. Beeman is another apologists of the Islamist Mullah Terrorist regime. Welcome to the Gang.




Iran Nuclear Program: Analysts Argue Nature of Regime Poses Higher Risk By Ed Warner
Washington
29 November 2004


The regime of the mullahs in Iran is ready to fall, says Assad Homayoun. Let's give it a timely push.


Dr. Assad Homayoun

Source VOA : http://www.voanews.com/english/NewsAnalysis/2004-11-29-voa27.cfm

An Iranian opposition leader in the United States whose sources inside Iran may be second to none, Mr. Homayoun has little patience with efforts to conciliate or compromise with the government in Tehran.

Westerners, he insists, are misled by the religiously inclined but ineffectual reformists associated with President Khatami. The Iranian future does not lie with them, he says, but with the growing coalition of secular nationalist forces that favor democracy.

"I believe that the solution is in the hands of the Iranian people, but the Iranian people need support," says Mr. Homayoun. "The United States should come enthusiastically, vigorously, openly in support of the Iranian people. President Bush supported Iranians before, but different voices from different branches of the administration confused the Iranian people."

Mr. Homayoun writes in the CIPA journal: "What the secular force needs is legitimization through recognition - not financial or covert assistance but rather the unconditional moral and political support of the world democratic community."

Mr. Homayoun traces the spread of Islamic militant fundamentalism to the regime in Iran. Remove that, he says, and you may stop the spread of terrorism as well.

"Nothing will be peaceful in the Middle East," says Mr. Homayoun, "unless the government of Iran changes its position, but change of position means change of government from theocracy to secular democratic government."

Mr. Homayoun says Tehran seeks nuclear weapons not so much to threaten other nations as to shore up internal support for its own shaky government. In fact, citing the work of Washington strategic analyst Yossef Bodansky, he believes Iran already has acquired nuclear warheads from the Muslim areas of the former Soviet Union and possibly from North Korea.

So the military option is out. An attack on Iran would have unfathomable consequences, he says, and besides, change must come from within untainted by material help from abroad. He writes in WorldTribune.com that if attacked, "Iran is advanced in various fields of WMD, and those weapons could fall into the hands of radicals and terrorist groups and create problems much more extensive than those today in Iraq."
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Ramin Etebar,MD



Joined: 21 May 2004
Posts: 74
Location: USA

PostPosted: Mon Dec 06, 2004 7:03 am    Post subject: Let's kick some butts Reply with quote

Dear Compatriots


Once again the foreign imperialists and secret societies are trying to write our future history.
Desperate attempts such as the Sham Referendum are in progress.
Supporter of the regime apologists are trying to sway public opinion and add to our apathy, disappointments and cause further desperation.
We can not afford to be silent observers. Get involved. Let these bastards have it!
Write the publication and object furiously.
Here is their e-mail address: letters@projo.com.
Don Weadon’s email address is dweadon@aol.com. Bombard him emails!!!

We shall be victorious.
Sincerely

Dr. Ramin Etebar


http://www.projo.com/opinion/contributors/content/projo_20041204_04bee.cf549.html


Shocked Evil or Very Mad
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ableiter



Joined: 11 Dec 2004
Posts: 13

PostPosted: Mon Jan 24, 2005 11:58 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Perfect is the enemy of good enough.
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